Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. FanGraphs Membership. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. Los Angeles Dodgers: +600. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. by Handedness. 1. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. That is, we'll list the win total for the 2022 season from Caesars Sportsbook and pick whether the team will win more (the "over") or fewer (the "under") games. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. 2023 Projected Standings. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. Download data. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. Everyone wants to know who will win the World Series, and according to the model, the answer is Dodgers are the most likely champion. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. All rights reserved. A complete list of this year's voters: . The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. But what the model really likes is the rotation. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. But this will be a season for fans to count on young talent gaining experience to help the next reloaded Oakland team. From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. 2 spot. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. Bostons bullpen isnt among the best in the American League and its starting rotation lacks quality depth, especially with Chris Sale on IL. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. AL EAST. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. . Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. by Retrosheet. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. 1 overall spot in the AL. Nov. 4, 2022. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. And I'll mention again that the Blue Jays were a wrecking crew in Rogers Centre after they went 22-22 in "home" games in Buffalo and Dunedin last year. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. 11m ago. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. There were three last season. NHL 2022-23 Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. Scorched. Well give credit to the Chicago Cubs for not tearing everything down and beginning a total rebuild. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). I do think this team is better and on the right track, but I don't think they'll have the kind of "luck" they did last season, say, in one-run games. SEA . With Freddie Freeman joining the mix, the Dodgers are undoubtedly the best team in MLB. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. 9:55 am ET, MLB rumors: Dodgers, Yankees seek depth after injuries, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to miss WBC with knee injury, Kik Hernndez recounts on-field bathroom accident, Phillies top prospect Andrew Painter has tender elbow, Max Scherzer fools hitter with new pitch clock rules, Report: Padres looking to extend Juan Soto, Josh Hader, MLB win totals for every team, best bets on over-unders, Phillies top prospect Painter has elbow tenderness, Report: Padres looking to extend Soto, Hader, Report: Mets to use six-man rotation at times in 2023, Dodgers SS Gavin Lux tears ACL, will miss entire season. mlb preview 2022. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. Payroll is the one thing keeping the Cleveland Guardians from putting up a great fight against Chicago. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: Toronto hasnt won a playoff game since 2016. Let's start things off with a prediction about one of my favorite players to target in fantasy baseball drafts. They are picked as a slight favorite to win the Commissioner's Trophy, just edging out the Blue Jays. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. Key player: Luis Robert. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis.